About the Operator
Anak Agung Ngurah Alit Mahendra Putra
Quantitative Researcher and founder of Qwark . Based in Indonesia. Self-taught in systematic trading, factor research, and live strategy deployment.
Started research in November 2025 building ML price prediction models — they all failed. In May 2026, pivoted to mechanism-first factor research after realizing that prediction without mechanism is curve-fitting. Within two months, shipped a live systematic equity strategy with a mechanism-validated signal, pre-specified kill conditions, and full factor attribution.
Every strategy shipped has a clear structural rationale, pre-specified kill conditions, and honest factor attribution. The research process is the edge — not the signal.
Direct Experience
- Systematic strategy research & development (Nov 2025 – present)
- Live strategy deployment & monitoring (Jul 2026 – present)
- ML model development (Nov 2025 – May 2026, discontinued)
- Python, NumPy/SciPy, backtesting engines, REST API integration
Competence Areas
Identity & Verification
- Name
- Anak Agung Ngurah Alit Mahendra Putra
- Role
- Founder & Quantitative Researcher
- Location
- Indonesia
- Active
- Since Nov 2025
- GitHub
- AkiroKazuki
- [email protected]
Trust & Transparency
- + All performance data verified through systematic backtesting
- + Kill conditions pre-specified before deployment
- + Full factor attribution disclosed
- + Out-of-sample track record maintained
- + No backtest overfitting — mechanism-first validation
Past performance is not indicative of future results. This is a personal research portfolio, not a registered investment advisory.
Timeline
Strategy I Goes Live
Live deployment with pre-specified kill conditions and OOS tracking.
Strategy I Research Complete
Backtesting, factor attribution, kill conditions all validated. Signal remains consistent across evaluated timeframes.
The Pivot
Abandoned ML price prediction. Realized directional forecasting is the wrong problem. Stepped back, rethought from first principles — mechanism, not prediction.
Research Begins
Started with ML price prediction models. Built, tested, failed — six months of systematic failure that taught the only thing that matters: mechanism.